Photo: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Indiana Pacers (16-58) are underdogs (by 9.5 points) to stop an 11-game home losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (39-35) on Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET.
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Heat vs. Pacers Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Heat 122, Pacers 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-410)
- Total Pick: Under 246.5 (computer predicts 235.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-9.5)
Recent Heat vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10/2026 | Heat | -6.5 | 236.5 | -248 | +201 | 123-99 IND |
| 12/27/2025 | Heat | -6.5 | 233.5 | -270 | +219 | 142-116 MIA |
| 2/28/2025 | Pacers | -3 | 223.5 | -152 | +127 | 125-120 MIA |
| 1/2/2025 | Heat | -2 | 225.5 | -134 | +113 | 128-115 IND |
| 11/17/2024 | Pacers | -3.5 | 228 | -164 | +138 | 119-110 IND |
| 11/15/2024 | Pacers | -4.5 | 228.5 | -191 | +160 | 124-111 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami is 43-30-1 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 9.5 points or more, the Heat have a 6-1 record against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in 40 of Miami's 74 games with a set total.
- The Heat have won 22, or 61.1%, of the 36 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Miami has been at least a -410 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won all of those games.
Pacers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Indiana has a 34-40-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Pacers have a 14-9 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 9.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 37 of Indiana's 74 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
- The Pacers have won 20.6% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (13-50).
- Indiana has a record of 4-20 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +320 or longer (16.7%).
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Heat vs. Pacers Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Norman Powell: Out (Back)
Pacers
Pacers:
Johnny Furphy: Out For Season (Knee),
Ivica Zubac: Out For Season (Rib),
Tyrese Haliburton: Out For Season (Achilles),
Andrew Nembhard: Questionable (Back),
Pascal Siakam: Questionable (Knee),
Jarace Walker: Questionable (Concussion),
Aaron Nesmith: Questionable (Back),
Obi Toppin: Questionable (Back),
T.J. McConnell: Questionable (Hamstring)
Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, March 29, 2026
- Game time: 5 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSIN
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
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