The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 6 of the NBA Finals against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The Thunder hold a 3-2 lead in the series.
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Thunder vs. Pacers Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final result of Thunder 119, Pacers 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-256)
- Total Pick: Over 221.5 (computer predicts 229.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-6.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/16/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 223 | -403 | +313 | 120-109 OKC |
| 6/13/2025 | Thunder | -6 | 228 | -234 | +191 | 111-104 OKC |
| 6/11/2025 | Thunder | -5.5 | 226 | -224 | +184 | 116-107 IND |
| 6/8/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228.5 | -581 | +424 | 123-107 OKC |
| 6/5/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 230 | -510 | +387 | 111-110 IND |
| 3/29/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 236 | -437 | +336 | 132-111 OKC |
| 12/26/2024 | Thunder | -5 | 227.5 | -215 | +177 | 120-114 OKC |
| 4/5/2024 | Pacers | -6.5 | 234.5 | -229 | +189 | 126-112 IND |
| 3/12/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 240.5 | -221 | +181 | 121-111 IND |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has gone 54-26-2 ATS this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 37-21-1 record against the spread.
- A total of 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (56.1%).
- This season, the Thunder have won 66 out of the 79 games, or 83.5%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 49 of its 59 games, or 83.1%, when favored by at least -256 on the moneyline.
Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Indiana has put together a 38-43-1 record against the spread.
- The Pacers have a 6-5 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 6.5 points or more.
- Indiana's games have gone over the point total 44 out of 82 times (53.7%).
- The Pacers have compiled a 16-17 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.5% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +207 or longer, Indiana has a record of 5-4 (55.6%).
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Thunder vs. Pacers Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Pacers
Pacers:
Jarace Walker: Out (Ankle),
Tyrese Haliburton: Questionable (Calf),
Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf)
Thunder vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, June 19, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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